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Analysis of the match between Sunderland and Tottenham Hotspur
This match is attracting a lot of attention from fans, as many are curious whether Sunderland can end their winless run at home or if Tottenham will claim all three points under their new manager Roberto De Zerbi, who was officially appointed on March 31.
There are several reasons to believe in a positive turnaround for Tottenham in this game.
First of all, Sunderland have lost their last three home matches in the Premier League and could extend that run to four straight defeats at The Light, a feat last seen in October 2013. Moreover, the Black Cats have been completely dominated by Tottenham, failing to win any of their last 15 Premier League meetings. Even at home, they have not beaten Spurs in their last seven encounters (3 draws, 4 losses).
In addition, although Tottenham are currently in the bottom half of the table, their away form has been impressive. In fact, two-thirds of their total points this season (20/30) have come from away matches. Only Ipswich in the 2024/25 season had a higher percentage of away points in Premier League history, with 68% (15/22 points).
Finally, there is the “new manager effect” at Tottenham. Statistics show that only one of the last 10 Spurs managers has lost their first Premier League match in charge (6 wins, 3 draws), with the exception of Igor Tudor, who lost 1-4 to Arsenal in February.
Meanwhile, Roberto De Zerbi also has a strong record in debut league matches. He has won 3 of his last 4 first league games with clubs (Sassuolo, Shakhtar Donetsk, and Marseille), with the only exception being a 3-3 draw while managing Brighton against Liverpool in the Premier League.
